The more that I think of the Stand-Off in Ukraine, between Russia and the West–Europe and the U. S.–I am reminded of the modern-day novel, by Ken Kessey–about the Inmates taking over the Asylum.  Namely, it seems that none of the Main Participants really wants to win.  Perhaps they just cannot bring themselves to deliver that final blow.

America cannot win by itself; because, any strong sanctions will not hurt Russia unless the European Union joins in.  Otherwise, it would just give-up Trade to European Corporations.   Besides, since America terminated its Space Shuttle Program, NASA cannot transport Astronauts to or from the international Space Station without the help of Russia’s Soyuz Fleet.

The E. U. has invited many of the Former Soviet Republics in Eastern Europe to join it and/or NATO.  But, besides not wanting to break with a major Trade Partner, Europe has allowed itself to be extremely dependent upon Russia for its Gas Imports.  In 1812, Napoleon Bonaparte committed the ultimate Strategic blunder–following the Russian Army so far into its Homeland that he could not re-supply his Army.  By depending on its opponent for a major Commodity, like Gas, Europe has repeated Napoleon’s same major blunder.

And Russia, for its part, is dependent upon the West for Hard Currency which can be used to purchase the Imported Goods which it requires, especially Agricultural Products from Ukraine.  Moscow’s own economy is a basket case and Crimea is showing the difficulty any Region would have in switching from one operational system to another.

So, if Russia is having trouble enough in paying its own bills, then just where would it get the additional resources to support Crimea?  So, it really cannot afford to take-on more responsibility; because, it has already bitten-off more than it can chew.

So far, Vladimir Putin has stopped short of endorsing the Eastern Regions from voting to break-away from Ukraine.  If Putin did remain engaged with those Regions, Russia might strengthen the resolve of Europe to stand-together with the U. S. in opposing his actions–perhaps across Eastern Europe.

I suggest that Russia do nothing whatsoever.  It should avoid any further involvement with the break-away Regions, which Putin apparently instigated.  Let them fend for themselves.  Hopefully, let’s hope that there is not a civil war before the break-away republics either find a solution of their own, or seek to re-join Ukraine.

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  1. #1 by cheekos on May 13, 2014 - 4:24 AM

    Welcome to the Blog’s readers from the Russian Federation, Ukraine and elsewhere in Europe.

  2. #2 by Grey on May 22, 2014 - 8:10 AM

    “It should avoid any further involvement with the break-away Regions, which Putin apparently instigated.”

    There are Russians living in those areas. They seem to prefer Russia to Europe and all the “values” that come from that side: The break-away Regions are trying to escape an extremist, nazi regime, which has been placed in power by the NATO countries (EU ones and the USA as well). No matter how awful the previous government was, it was democratically elected. This was a coup-disguised-as-popular-protest to make Ukraine join the NATO. Ukraine is one of the last buffer areas between Russia and NATO countries. That’s why Russia intervenes. And that’s why the US is involved in this. Democracy my a$$.

    I personally dislike Putin for quite a few things he’s said and done, and maybe it’s not even his main goal to help the Russian people in Crimea, but in this whole story I think he is acting correctly.

    Greetings from Europe o/

    • #3 by cheekos on May 22, 2014 - 1:51 PM

      Grey, thanks very much for sharing your views on Vladimir Putin and his moves in Ukraine on behalf of Russia. Right now, Putin is riding a wave of popularity, perhaps primarily due to his government-controlled media and the fact that Russians are a very nationalistic people. Most of all, they admire and support their Military. So, right now, they are buying-into the media coverage.

      You appear to back the tights of the Russian People, and the recently-Annexed Crimeans which are now part of that Nation. Once the rest of Ukraine has the chance–and without armed “Troops” patrolling their streets–to consider the standard-of-living of, let’s say (former Soviet Republic) Poland, now a part of the E.U., as compared to that of Russia, they could decide for themselves. Right? If they prefer a better standard-of-living, greater information accuracy and the various Freedoms which Russia now overrules–shouldn’t the people be allowed to decide–both freely and on their own.

      I understand the people of Russian Heritage who live in Ukraine, many of which are retired Russian Military. Many U.S. Military retirees have also retired to other countries, such as Panama and the Philippines, where they might have served and their Retirement Dollars will go much farther. Let’s let the truth flow and the People make their decisions freely and honestly.

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